The number of jobs in New Zealand’s non-metro regions boomed in the last quarter of 2017, as post-election uncertainty took a toll on Auckland, Wellington and Canterbury, according to an analysis of over 68,000 vacancies listed on Trade Me Jobs.
Head of Trade Me Jobs, Jeremy Wade, said the latest data indicated that employers and job hunters in the main centres had been “treading softly” as they waited for the the new political landscape to settle, but those in the regions were less concerned.
Mr Wade said Southland, Northland, Otago, Hawke’s Bay, Waikato and Marlborough all had solid double-digit growth in new listings year-on-year, along with a small increase in average pay. It was a different story in the main centres with new listings in Auckland falling by 2.8 per cent, Wellington down 1.6 per cent and Canterbury up a modest 1 per cent on last year.
“Despite the benign growth of new listings in the main centres we’d still expect to see some wage growth given the skill shortage,” he said. “However, at a national level the average pay was relatively flat in the final quarter of 2017, down 0.2 per cent on last year to $60,441.
“Even after some encouraging wage growth in the previous two quarters, it’s surprising to see such little movement in pay. We’d expect employers to be digging deeper into their pockets to secure the best candidates.”
Job applications drop
Mr Wade said job hunters continue to be in the prime position with the average number of applications per role down 15 per cent on last year, and down 5.8 per cent on the previous quarter.
He said applications in Auckland, Wellington and Canterbury decreased by 17 per cent, 10 per cent and 14 per cent respectively. “This decline in applications is a clear indicator that the job landscape is favouring job hunters, especially anyone looking for a role in transport and logistics or manufacturing and operations where new listings are up more than 21 per cent.
“With less competition and high demand for skilled workers, January is a great time to dust off your CV if you’re considering making your next career move.”
Sectors a mixed bag
Mr Wade said that of the 26 sectors on Trade Me Jobs, 13 saw an increase in the number of new listings year-on-year with manufacturing and operations (up 28.5 per cent), transport and logistics (up 21.2 per cent), and agriculture (up 20.7 per cent) leading the way.
“Retail, hospitality and sales have all been performing strongly in 2017, but dipped sharply in the final quarter of 2017, with new listings down 12 per cent, 2.8 per cent and 12 per cent respectively.”
IT roles continue to dominate the highest paid roles on Trade Me Jobs, taking out the top four spots. Project managers topped the list with an average pay of $142,143.
Wage growth flat in Auckland and Wellington
Mr Wade said Auckland City remained the highest earning area with an average pay of $72,383 followed closely by Wellington at $69,787, but wage growth in the biggest centres was flat.
The average pay was down 0.3 per cent in Auckland City year-on-year, and up just 0.3 per cent in the capital, he said.
“With a shortage of talent, flat wage growth and the increasing cost of living, employers in the main metros will be under more pressure in 2018 to secure talent and as a result we expect average pay to increase.”
Predictions for 2018
Mr Wade said employers will continue to face challenges securing skilled people in 2018. “We expect to see the skill shortage worsen this year as the tightening on immigration will likely leave employers with little choice but to improve salary packages to lure talent. As a result, the ball is in the job hunter’s court and skilled workers can expect to see better offers dangled in front of them.”
Small businesses are likely to slow their hiring rates and Mr Wade said that while replacing core people will continue to be important, there will be cutbacks on discretionary hiring. “We know there will be a flow-on from the concerns around the increase to the minimum wage. Employment law changes to the 90-day trial period and the proposed Fair Pay Agreements are also set to have a significant impact on employers.”